Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2914 · SEA → LAX
departs 12:35 PM PT · arrives 3:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 13%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.