Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2926
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
DL 2926 · PBI → DTW
departs 12:25 PM ET · arrives 3:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 20%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 13%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.95 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,240 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.