DL 2930 · LGA → IAH

departs 1:50 PM ET · arrives 4:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2930 · LGA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?