Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2943
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2943 · IAH → LGA
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 11:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 45%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
6pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.