Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2945
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2945 · ATL → ATW
departs 9:16 PM ET · arrives 10:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
ATW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.