Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2965
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2965 · SJC → LAX
departs 11:33 AM PT · arrives 12:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
SJC is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.