Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2989
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2989 · DTW → BDL
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 11:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BDL at that hour are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.25 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.