DL 3017 · ATL → GSO

departs 6:34 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

GSO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3017 · ATL → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?