DL 301 · ATL → LAX

departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 5:26 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 301 · ATL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?