Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3022
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 3022 · ATL → HSV
departs 11:00 PM ET · arrives 11:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
11pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Arrivals into HSV at that hour are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
HSV (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.