DL 3040 · ATL → LIT

departs 10:31 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3040 · ATL → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?