DL 3073 · DTW → RIC

departs 2:25 PM ET · arrives 4:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.26 in

RIC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3073 · DTW → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?