Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3116
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 3116 · ATL → AVL
departs 10:46 PM ET · arrives 11:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
AVL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.