Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3126
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 3126 · ATL → IND
departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 5:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.