Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 345 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

DL 345 · SEA → LIH

departs 3:50 PM PT · arrives 6:58 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 345 · SEA → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?