Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 353 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 353 · JFK → LAX

departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 7:13 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 353 · JFK → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?