Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 416 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 416 · ATL → ANC

departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 6:48 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7.33333 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 416 · ATL → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?