Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 440 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

DL 440 · HNL → SEA

departs 10:47 PM HT · arrives 7:36 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 440 · HNL → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?