Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 551 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 551 · DFW → LGA

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 11:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.58 in

LGA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 551 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?