DL 689 · LAX → SFO

departs 12:02 PM PT · arrives 1:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 689 · LAX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?