Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 718 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

DL 718 · LAX → MCO

departs 4:05 PM PT · arrives 12:07 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 718 · LAX → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?