DL 733 · ATL → MEM

departs 1:49 PM ET · arrives 2:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 733 · ATL → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?