DL 761 · DTW → SAN

departs 12:34 PM ET · arrives 2:10 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.18 in

SAN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 761 · DTW → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?