Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 796 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 796 · ATL → PHX

departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 12:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 796 · ATL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?