DL 873 · DFW → LGA

departs 10:35 AM CT · arrives 3:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.90 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,167 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 873 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?