DL 916 · DTW → LAS

departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 9:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±5 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.19 in

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 916 · DTW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?