F9 1094 · SFO → DEN

departs 11:42 AM PT · arrives 3:29 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 52% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from SFO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1094 · SFO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?