Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
F9 1101 · PHL → ATL
departs 1:32 PM ET · arrives 3:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Wed 9/30 26%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.