Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1176
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 1176 · SEA → DEN
departs 7:06 PM PT · arrives 10:58 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.