Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1258
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 1258 · LAS → TPA
departs 10:18 PM PT · arrives 5:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.