Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1318
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
F9 1318 · CVG → RSW
departs 2:48 PM ET · arrives 5:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 64%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 44 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.79 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.