Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1351
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 1351 · BUF → MCO
departs 9:29 PM ET · arrives 12:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 29%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.