Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 1492 · TPA → CLE
departs 5:43 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 51%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
52%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.