Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1495
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1495 · FLL → IAH
departs 12:56 PM ET · arrives 2:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 47%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±6 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.84 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.