F9 1523 · STL → DFW

departs 10:17 AM CT · arrives 12:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.66667 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility3.33333 mi Precip0.21 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1523 · STL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?