Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1595
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1595 · ATL → ORD
departs 6:23 PM ET · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 50%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.