Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1750
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1750 · CVG → MCO
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 11:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 36%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.