F9 1765 · DEN → LAS

departs 6:34 PM MT · arrives 7:38 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1765 · DEN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?