Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1874
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1874 · DEN → OMA
departs 4:40 PM MT · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 54%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.92 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.