Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1887
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
F9 1887 · MDW → DFW
departs 9:27 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
51%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 65% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 71% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.18 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.