Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1958 · IAH → DTW
departs 2:54 PM CT · arrives 6:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.21 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.