Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1965
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1965 · IAH → LAS
departs 8:43 PM CT · arrives 9:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.15 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.