Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1966
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
F9 1966 · LAS → IAH
departs 2:28 PM PT · arrives 7:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Wed 9/30 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.