Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2130 · MEM → MCO
departs 7:10 PM CT · arrives 10:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 32%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.