F9 2171 · FLL → ATL

departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2171 · FLL → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?