Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2206 · FLL → ORD
departs 9:43 AM ET · arrives 12:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±7 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.72 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.