Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2287
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2287 · ORF → MCO
departs 9:34 PM ET · arrives 11:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORF (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.