Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 2445 · ORD → LAX
departs 9:13 PM CT · arrives 11:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 30%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±9 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.90 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.