Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2471 · EWR → DFW
departs 1:35 PM ET · arrives 4:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±6 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.