Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2520
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2520 · DEN → MCO
departs 11:52 PM MT · arrives 5:31 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.